AI Council — Agent 4 of 8

Risk Assassin

Capital preservation

The Risk Assassin does not optimize for more trades — it hunts capital destruction patterns. It reads max drawdown, position-sizing consistency, Kelly/ruin probability, and risk events to determine whether your current risk profile is sustainable.

What it reads from your tape

The Risk Assassin receives pre-aggregated metrics from your completed trades — not a generic chat summary. Every input comes from your canonical trade tape.

  • Maximum and average drawdown depth and duration
  • Position-sizing consistency vs. planned R per trade
  • Ruin probability and Kelly criterion alignment
  • Risk events: worst loss, loss streaks, oversized trades
  • R-multiple instability across the audit period

What it detects

  • Oversized risk and asymmetric downside exposure
  • Drawdown acceleration patterns
  • R-multiple instability between sessions
  • Risk-rule breaches with cumulative impact

What it delivers

  • Risk grade and sustainability assessment
  • Capital preservation diagnostics
  • Vulnerability list with severity ranking
  • Risk recommendations with dollar impact estimates

Example finding

4 trades at 1.4R planned risk in 10 days — 68% of monthly drawdown
Reality Check grade with risk vulnerabilities and action plan

How it fits the Council

The Risk Assassin runs in parallel with six other specialists on the same audit period. Each agent sees metrics tuned to its domain. When specialists disagree, they debate transparently in The Situation Room before the Chief Coaching Officer synthesizes everything into a dollar-ranked Kill List.

Learn about the full AI Council pipeline

Frequently asked questions

What is ruin probability in this context?

Ruin probability estimates the likelihood of hitting a defined capital threshold given your current win rate, payoff ratio, and position-sizing variance. It flags when sizing drift pushes you into ruin-adjacent territory.

How is this different from a max drawdown chart?

Drawdown charts show history; the Risk Assassin identifies the specific trades and sizing decisions that caused drawdown acceleration and whether the pattern is repeating in your current period.

See Risk Assassin on your trade history

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